2016 NFL Divisional Playoffs: Analysis & Viewing Sheet

posted in: 2016 | 0

Numbers represent overall and specific NFL rankings by points except pass/run ranked by yardage. Depending on who has the ball, compare offense/defense strengths in pass/run yardage to anticipate best game plan.

Top five in each category are in red font. Projected winners are underlined.

 

Saturday, Jan 14, 2:35 PM MT FOX

#6 Seattle at #2 Atlanta

 

Atlanta Offense #1:        1 Pass    5 Run                    Seattle Offense #18:       5 Pass    24 Run

Seattle Defense #3:       18 Pass   1 Run                    Atlanta Defense #27:     11 Pass    26 Run

 

The best part of the game will be Atlanta with the ball. With the best pass offense in the NFL against a mediocre Seattle pass defense, Atlanta should mostly pass. Atlanta’s strong running game will be severely tested by Seattle’s #1 run defense. Seattle should mostly pass and its strong passing game will be tested by a good Atlanta pass defense. Could be a shoot-out. Both can play catchup with their great passing games. Projected winner: Atlanta.

 

 

Saturday, Jan 14, 6:15 PM MT CBS

#26 Houston vs. #1 New England

 

NE Offense #3:                3 Pass    25 Run                 Houston Offense #18:    32 Pass    19 Run

Houston Defense #11:    2 Pass    11 Run                 NE Defense #1:                8 Pass     8 Run

 

The most interesting part of the game will be NE with the ball. Houston’s scoring defense belies their defensive yardage advantage over NE. NE should mostly pass but Houston’s #2 pass defense should do a lot to slow them down. Houston should mostly run but should be shut down by NE’s #1 defense. Projected winner: New England.

 

 

Sunday, Jan 15, 11:05 PM MT NBC

#5 Pittsburgh vs. #4 Kansas City

 

KC Offense #13:                  15 Pass    16 Run          Pittsburgh Offense #10:     13 Pass      8 Run

Pittsburgh Defense #10:     15 Pass    19 Run           KC Defense #7:                   12 Pass    24 Run

 

Pittsburgh, weaker in points scored than KC, is stronger in yardage which often means an upset in the making. The key could be Pittsburgh’s #8 running game against a weak #24 KC running defense. Pittsburgh should run A LOT. The question is whether Pittsburgh’s coaches recognize their running advantage. Often with a premier QB like Roethlisberger playoff teams who should mostly run instead pass too much. The Pittsburgh offensive game plan to mostly run will be critical if they want to upset KC. Projected winner: Kansas City.

 

 

Sunday, Jan 15, 2:40 PM MT FOX

#8 Green Bay vs. #3 Dallas

 

Dallas Offense #5:     4 Pass      3 Run                    GB Offense #4:          15 Pass       7 Run

GB Defense #21:       32 Pass     14 Run                    Dallas Defense #5:      13 Pass     11 Run

 

Dallas #5 offense should mostly pass and roll over GB’s weak defense. GB should mostly run but probably won’t with Rogers on a tear. Could be a fun game but Dallas should outscore GB. Projected winner: Dallas.

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